Kentucky @ Vanderbilt Preview

 Posted by on January 9, 2013
Jan 092013
 

Vanderbilt will host the defending national champion in their league action of the season tomorrow. Vandy was one of only two teams to defeat the Wildcats last season, however, as players and fans of both teams know, a lot has changed since that conference tournament matchup. Vanderbilt and Kentucky both come into this game with a completely different starting lineup, and the new stars of their respective teams will look to play with the same intensity that was seen in the three contest last season.

Kentucky will bring its usual collection of talented newcomers to Nashville. Star frosh Archie Goodwin, Nerlens Noel, Alex Poythress, and Willie Cauley-Stein make up yet another stellar class put together by John Calipari. It is not only freshman newcomers that make a difference for this team though, as transfer guards Ryan Harrow and Julius Mays are also a big pieces for the Wildcats this season. And then of course the sophomore sharpshooter Kyle Wiltjer will provide a lot of minutes and quick scoring ability off the bench.

Kentucky Backcourt

Ryan Harrow and Archie Goodwin will likely make up the starting backcourt. Harrow, a transfer from North Carolina State, came into this season with sky-high expectations. He has not been the dominant Calipari point guard we are so used to seeing, but he has significantly increased production in his last four games and does look much improved from his slow start to the season (which was staggered by illness and family matters). He has all the tools to become a great point guard, with fantastic quickness and athleticism. Kedren Johnson will need to keep the intensity on defense to make sure Harrow doesn’t run wild.

Archie Goodwin is an even more difficult defensive assignment. While the star freshman may not be a great shooter from the outside, his ability to attack the basket and finish through defenders is something special. Moreover, his pull up jump shot is enough to leave any defender weary of giving him any space. Goodwin has a confidence level that is through the roof, and is a major scoring threat at all times. Goodwin is also a very capable player at point guard, and is can find his teammates well at all times. However, he is known to get a little overconfident, and struggles taking care of the ball at times. Vanderbilt will need to take advantage of when this young star makes mistakes.

Julius Mays will make for basically the only reserve in the backcourt. He has spent time at both North Carolina State and Wright State in his long college career. Mays is a smart player, and his passing skills make him a valuable backup for the Wildcats. He has really struggled shooting the ball lately, but he makes a difference in so many areas that Calipari keeps him on the court. What would make for a real problem would be is Mays started hitting his shots, which would make for yet another threat in this Kentucky offense. Another possible guard who might see some time is walk-on Jarrod Polson, who made headlines with his big time play in the first game of the season against Maryland. Since then though, he has been a relative non-factor and it is unlikely he will play much at all if this game is close.

As always with Calipari teams, his guards are going to play hard throughout the game. Vandy will need a great performance from their backcourt to win this game, since getting an advantage in the paint is practically impossible. Kedren Johnson and Kyle Fuller will also need to extra care of the ball against a strong Kentucky press. I do think that the Commodores will perform decently defensively against the Wildcat backcourt. Kyle Fuller and Dai-Jon Parker are very skilled defenders and they should keep Kentucky guards from creating too much trouble.

Kentucky Frontcourt

Kentucky will likely start Alex Poythress, Willie Cauley-Stein, and Nerlens Noel in the frontcourt. It will likely be the most physically and athletically intimidating front that Vanderbilt will see all season long. All three of these freshman have great length and leaping ability that, of course, will make for a lot of dunks and some alley-oops against a Commodore frontcourt that just doesn’t matchup. Poythress, who we all remember from the recruiting battle, is an athletic freak and that loves to throw down whenever possible. A strong player, he is also capable of stepping out for a mid-range jumpshot.

Willie Cauley-Stein has an outstanding number of tools in his arsenal. A wide receiver in high school, he is very quick for a seven footer. Cauley-Stein creates a lot of problems for opposing teams with his work in the Kentucky full-court press; his versatility and hustle make for quite the impressive combination. Nerlens Noel, another freshman with outstanding length, is somewhat limited offensively but makes up for it as a rebounder and shot blocker. He is not Anthony Davis, but who is? He looked soft against the very talented Maryland center Alex Len, but Vandy does not have that type of player to push around Noel.

As for reserves, Kyle Wiltjer is sure to get a lot of minutes. He is a lot different from the frontcourt players listed above, but his shooting abilities really add another dimension to the Kentucky offense. Also, Archie Goodwin will occasionally slide over the three spot as well. Much like Kevin Bright, he is a great rebounder for his size and his serviceable there as well.

As you could probably tell earlier, I worry that Vanderbilt will struggle with the Kentucky frontcourt. It is just not a good matchup for the Commodores, who lack any threatening post presence. Kevin Bright could fare decently against Goodwin at the three, but the four and five spots are just not on the same level. If there was ever a day to get James Siakam some minutes, it would be tomorrow, where Vandy could make use of his athleticism.

Conclusion

Vanderbilt guards would need to dominate in order to win this game, and the shots would need to fall. Kentucky is not quite on the level they have been in recent years, but this Commodores team would need a near perfect performance to overcome their mismatches. Hopefully Memorial Magic can really show up tomorrow night.

Go ‘Dores!

Commodores Travel to Lexington

 Posted by on November 1, 2012
Nov 012012
 

A critical stretch of three conference games begins this weekend, as Vanderbilt (4-4) heads to Kentucky (1-8). Around this time last season, the Commodores crushed the Wildcats 38-8 in one of their most dominant SEC performances in recent memory; and the bad thing for UK fans is, they don’t look any better this time around. However, this game is going to be a little tougher than some may think. If Kentucky has done nothing else, they have given better teams tough games in Commonwealth Stadium. In fact, in all three of their conference home games, they have given some troubles to the likes of South Carolina, Mississippi State, and Georgia.

Now, in those games, of course the better team pulled away eventually. Still, VU will need to play well in this game to come away with a victory. While many would think that this falls into the hands of Zac Stacy, like it did last season, there is a good chance things will not be coming as easy this time around. In those three aforementioned conference home games this season, the Wildcats have held opponents to an average of 3.65 yards per carry, which would be good enough for fifth in the conference right now; all that is pretty impressive considering that statistic includes games against backs like Marcus Lattimore, Todd Gurley, and Keith Marshall.

Kentucky is most vulnerable in their very inexperienced secondary, where they have been awful no matter how you separate the statistics. Matter of fact, with all the good they have done stopping the run in conference home games, they have been equally bad or worse shutting down the air attack. In the Georgia game, where they shut down Gurley and Marshall, Arron Murray – who has been pretty unimpressive this season by his standards – had 427 passing yards and four touchdowns. Receiver Tavarres King torched the Wildcat secondary all game long, finishing with 9 receptions, 188 yards, and 2 touchdowns. If that game tells us anything, it’s that Jordan Rodgers and the receiving corps (which is every bit on par with Georgia) may be the ones we are crediting with a win after this Saturday.

Considering the above, and the fact that Zac Stacy may very well be banged up, I would actually prefer letting the offense throw the ball around a little more than usual, and maybe even giving Wesley Tate (who has been playing really hard and proving me wrong lately) a few more carries to lighten the load on our star running back. Just an idea.

Where Vandy should really look good is on the defensive side of the ball. Kentucky has the second worst total offense in the league, just averaging around a yard more than Auburn has in conference games. And where the Tigers were worst running the ball, the Wildcats are by far the most terrible passing team in the SEC, averaging just 105.3 yards a game (less than half our average). Against a Vanderbilt team that is just right behind Alabama as the best pass defense in the league (albeit, that stat is a little skewed), their train-wreck multiple-quarterback system should not fair to well through the air. If they do, then Vandy will have more than a few issues to work out before we start talking another bowl bid.

UK, to their credit, does have reasonable talent running the football. Raymond Saunders III and Johnathan Gray would be decent SEC halfbacks if they actually had some kind of passing offense to work with or if they weren’t playing from behind the whole time. If we let Kentucky stay within range for too long, then their running game could make some noise. We need to give them a reason to not hand the ball off, which is even more of a reason for the Commodore offense to open things up this week.

Overall, I obviously think Vandy will win this game. While Kentucky really is better on their home field, their offense is just so inept that the Commodores would have to make quite a few mistakes to give this one away. Which means don’t go for it every fourth down, coach.

Go ‘Dores!

Notice: All statistics for this game are calculated using conference games only, a new thing for this site. I think it is just a better judge of where SEC teams really stand, so it will be the measuring stick for conference matchups.

Kentucky @ Vanderbilt Analysis

 Posted by on February 9, 2012
Feb 092012
 

A long-awaited matchup is finally upon us. Kentucky is coming to Nashville as No. 1 in the nation. Vanderbilt has not been quite up to par with early expectations but we all know how much talent is on this team, and if there was ever a night to come around than this Saturday is the time. UK has struggled on the road at times this season, and it is time for the Commodores to prove their game in front of a national crowd. I hope you are as excited as I am.

Anthony Davis will sweep awards like no has ever swept them before this postseason. Oh, and he is going to be signing with Charlotte Bobcats (or some other trash team) for big bucks when they draft him with the top pick this offseason. And you are better off just believing the hype if you do not believe already. Davis has a story like no else, as he was just an average-sized high school guard just a couple of years ago before one huge growth spurt sent him on a path to becoming the star he is today. I cannot describe his ability to block shots because there is not a word for it. He is simply the greatest ever in that dimension for the game. He just denies every thing his oppositions throws at him regardless of it is a hook shot, a layup, or even a three. He also has great defensive instincts, and is quick to getting the Kentucky defense back to their assignments when switches are made. Worse of all though, is the physiological affect he has on the opposing offense. And that goes for everyone he is playing, as he seems to not allow any clean shots by any player if he is on the court. Just watch some Kentucky games. It seems like everyone goes cold against them, just because their defense is so intimidating. Davis is also the leading scorer and rebounder for Kentucky. He has great communication with all his teammates (most of which are outstanding passers) and that allows for many alley-oops a game. He just dunks, and dunks, and dunks, and dunks again. He does not mind posting up either, but he prefers to stay away from any exhausting aggressive and strong moves. He prefers to use his quick feet to get a shot off quicker than the usually slow opposing big man can defend. He does bring a lot of intensity and leaping ability to rebounding though. One thing you can do to Davis is sucker him into shots further away from the basket. He cannot hit them with any consistency and if you got him to miss enough, maybe you could lower his confidence. Other than that, not much is wrong with this guy. You may get him out of position, but he is just so physically gifted that he almost always gets back in time to shut down any offense. Yet he does it with getting in foul trouble. Such a talented player.

Michael Kidd-Gilchrist is one of the most intense, hard-working players my eyes have ever witnessed. He plays basketball like every coach in America wants his players to play. His will to win sets this Kentucky team apart from the other freshman-heavy squads we have seen recently. He also posses outstanding rebound abilities at the three spot. Moreover, he does not waste time by handing the ball to Marquis Teague when gets his hand on the ball. He would rather get his teammates going down the court, where he has great finishing ability and even better court vision to find an open teammate or lob it up to one of many great leapers he plays with. His instincts are unheard of for a freshman. MKG has an outstanding first step when attack the basket and quickly makes the best decision for his team. And that is what Kidd-Gilchrist is all about. He wants to be the victor and he thrives on getting the loose ball no one else was even going to go after. He never stands around and his high-energy is contagious to his teammates. Kentucky fights for all those extra possessions that make them winners, so we have to be ready to battle it out this weekend. MKG has been known to chew his out teammates out when they are not doing their work. He is also doing his though. On both ends of the court, he is one heck of a player.

Marquis Teague is yet another five-star freshman for the Wildcats. He took a lot of heat earlier in the year but has cleaned up his game a lot recently. He is a good passer and can penetrate a defense quite well. He is not the best finisher, but he can cause the defense to collapse once he beats his man off the dribble, which of course leads to a kick out or the always-efficient pass to Anthony Davis. He does not have the pure takeover ability that blessed Derrick Rose, Tyreke Evans, John Wall, or even Brandon Knight before him but he is still very gifted as a college freshman. His three-point shot is not spectacular, but he does a fair job of knocking down the deep ball if he gets open. And with this very talented Kentucky team comes their great court vision, so they are very good when it comes to finding an open man. Still, there are question marks surround this particular freshman. When things are going well in Lexington, he seems to function with very sound decisions. However, when he leaves his home court, he has been known to make some terrible mistakes. Just look at his performance in Knoxville, where he struggled to make the even simple passes in the half court. A majority of his teammates have terrific ball handling skills for their position, and that kind of hides the flaws in Teague’s game. I would look for him to be a big variable in the outcome of the game this weekend. Hopefully he continues to make those mental errors on the road.

Terrence Jones is probably the biggest offensive threat that Kentucky presents. His skills set is loaded and he has a variety of ways to attack the opposing defense. However, the fact that he is fourth on his team in points is a little ridiculous. He forces things at times and his jump shot just has not improved as much as I expected it to. He is not the factor that he should be a this point, regardless of if he had a finger injury or not. I will stick to the word I used in the first sentence of this paragraph though. Jones is a threat. He has the capability of going off any night. Something I have noticed though is that if he misses early, he seems to fall out of favor with the Kentucky offense. I do not think they like him forcing things and they like to go to the route of him finishing alley-oops and running a fastbreak than attacking off the dribble. He is the third best rebounder on his team, but that is not an insult considering he plays with Davis and MKG. He also contributes to the outstanding defense of Kentucky with his blocking ability, and he is pretty versatile on all ends of the court. I hope, hope, hope that we catch him on a cold night. When he is knocking them down, they are nearly impossible to beat.

Doron Lamb is starting next to Teague in the backcourt. Much like Jones, he is a sophomore that can light up the scoring column. Actually, he is just behind Davis as the leading scorer on the team and he has not even started every game. His three-point shot is excellent, and he loves the shot from the corner. We must clamp down on this guy, as he is going to get more shots than anyone else on the team. Kentucky loves to look for him to put the dagger in their oppositions and close the game. We cannot give them that opportunity. As with all players that lead their team in shots, he has been known to force things when he misses a few. And that is what we need. Jones and Lamb have a lot of dimensions to their scoring, unlike superstars MKG and Davis that do most of their work around the basket. I think winning will require Kentucky to get one dimensional like that.

Kentucky does not have a lot of depth but they do have some great bench players. Darius Miller plays more consistent minutes off the bench than basically any player in the league, and has one of the most interesting offensive skills set out of any player in the conference as well. Miller can hurt you both with a three-point shot and a post move. His complex game usually provides a good amount of buckets off the bench and his size can create some matchup issues (as if there were not already enough). Kyle Wiltjer is another five-star freshman but he is not held to quite the same level as Davis, MKG, and Teague. I just think it is crazy how this guy would be the highest rated prospect we have ever had but is hardly a role player for Kentucky. Wiltjer does do a lot of things pretty well, and can hit shots outside and inside. He normally provides some offense off the bench, but not too much. Eloy Vargas is a serviceable guy in the paint, who will give a breather to Anthony Davis at some point in the game. He does not too much though, but simply handles business in the post while the superstar get a quick break.

Here is how I look at things. I just think that Antony Davis and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist are just going to get their stuff and we cannot really do anything about it. We need to make sure they do not get much help though. Other guys have struggled somewhat on the road this season, and we need to take advantage of that and take away other options. John Jenkins and Jeffery Taylor must avoid the long arms of Davis at all cost. Give Kentucky a couple of pump fakes and then take a jump shot. Going inside will not be much of an option if Davis is on the court unless Jeffery Taylor really wants to expend all his energy somehow avoiding the guy for one possession. Not worth it if you ask me. Kentucky does not make many mistakes on defense, we have got to get them in the air (they love blocking shots) and beat them with our superior outside shooting (mid-range shots also but even that will be tough). Brad Tinsley must be a factor. He has to get in the scoring column and hold his own on defense. Actually, that goes for everyone. All of the Wildcats have a huge skill set, so we need to clamp down on everyone. We will have to give energy and effort for a full basketball game. Kentucky hustles more than anyone in the nation and we need to change our careless ways this weekend if we want to have a chance. We need emotion to win this game. Memorial needs to erupt when we get on the fastbreak and fans need to scream their lungs out if we force Calipari to take a timeout. Our guys feed off that energy. And lastly, we need Kentucky to mess up more than us. Our talent cannot beat them, we need some help from the mistakes of our opposition. It is time for some Memorial Magic folks. It is time to show yet another top-ranked team that we do not lay down when the big boys come to town.

Go ‘Dores!

Senior Day Action

 Posted by on November 12, 2011
Nov 122011
 

I will post about our basketball victory later tonight, but what goes on the football field is all that matters right now. James Franklin and his team are searching for a rebound victory here on Senior Day and, for the first time in the whole conference season, we are actually favored to take care of business.

Kentucky is actually not that far behind us when you look at the big picture. The Wildcats have four wins, one of those being a conference win, and no standout victories at all really. While I would say our four wins look a little better on paper, it is really our performance in losses that separate us. UK has been severely embarrassed in their losses this season, while we have been a threat to everyone we have played since Jordan Rodgers took over under center.

Still, we need to learn how to win before we get too excited. Kentucky is a vulnerable target we can handle for the full game, so those half-effort games against teams like Arkansas and Georgia should not be repeated this afternoon. Our defense does not have much to worry about on paper. Kentucky is below is in just about every statistic out there. Nevertheless, conference are never easy to come by.

I feel really good about this one though. Vandy is better than Kentucky and we should absolutely prove that today. We have weapons all over the field with Jordan Rodgers, Zac Stacy, Jordan Matthews, and now Brandon Barden is even showing signs of greatness again.

Gameday Analysis: Vandy @ Kentucky

 Posted by on March 1, 2011
Mar 012011
 

I am sure you are all aware of the scenarios, so there is no point in typing up the same story that you have already read probably three times. We cannot control what goes on outside our team anyways, so we might as well just focus on winning this one and then seeing how the other games went on afterwards.

So how are we going to do this? Kentucky is yet to lose a home game in the Calipari era, they are probably more than a little mad about how the game in Nashville went down, and you can bet they do not want to be playing in round one of the conference tourney. There is no doubt at all that things are not looking to bright to bright for us.

However, I refuse to count us out. Florida gave Kentucky all they could handle for a good chunk of their game Saturday, so we can certainly play with these guys. Here’s how:

1) Scare them with Jenkins. They know as good as anyone in the conference that Johnny can go off on any given night. While I doubt that he can give us the same 30+ point performance, you can bet that they are still going to be worried about JJ. So while he gets their best defense all night long, someone else should be able to go into attack mode and score on these guys…

2) Find that guy. This point follows-up the last one. We have to find the guy that is going to score as they will probably never leave Jenkins to help on defense. Jeffery played hard and was able to finish around the basket (probably better than we had seen all season) on Saturday, so maybe he is the guy we will turn to. And with a little help from Brad, Festus, and Stevie — we may not need John to dominate much at all.

3) Kentucky is not ready for our health. Yes, you did read that correctly. I really do not think that UK really understands how much better we are when healthy. Our first game against the Wildcats, Lance Goulbourne played just 15 minutes (grabbing a single rebound and no points) and Andre Walker didn’t play at all. Sure, they watched the tape from the LSU game, but I do not think that all their players actually get how different the story is going to be from those two guys.

4) Be ready for the three ball. In our first game, Kentucky shot more threes than us and they missed more as well. Tonight could be very different. For example, guy like Doron Lamb do not go 0-2 very often. This Kentucky team is not like last season’s. While they may not have the star power of Wall, Bledsoe, and Cousins — they can shoot an awful lot better. I hope our guys realize that and continue to play solid perimeter defense.

5) Read this story. This article was brought to my attention by the guys at VSL. It’s a great story about Festus Ezeli that I would recommend to everyone out there, Commodores fan or not. You need to make sure you make time to check it out.

Go ‘Dores!
And just for tonight, Roll Tide!

Vandy’s Big Win

 Posted by on February 12, 2011
Feb 122011
 

Vanderbilt grabbed a huge 81-77 win No. 18 Kentucky today. Not only is it the team’s most signature win so far, but it also bumps us up to second place in the division. Now, as we say good-bye to all the doubters that said we couldn’t win close games, the future is finally starting to look bright for this squad.

Jeffery Taylor only shot 1-7 for just 4 points. Although, John Jenkins was able to pick up the slack (and maybe the title as our team’s best player) and he put up a career-high 32 points. Festus Ezeli and Brad Tinsley also supplied some second half firepower, but it was Stevie Thunder off the bench that really kept us in the game midway though the first half.

Andre Walker wasn’t ready to play today, but you have to get the feeling we be ready for Georgia on Wednesday. I can’t wait to have the luxury of his ball handling and passing back on the court. In the meantime, it’s going to be interesting how this game effects our predicted seeding in the tourney.

The Scenario

 Posted by on October 18, 2010
Oct 182010
 

I know some of you have gone dormant after Saturday’s loss, and it’s hard to blame you, putting up the big goose egg is never fun. In fact, Vanderbilt Sports Line — the best VU blog out there — hasn’t even left a game response on their site. Although, I think this story may cheer up a few of you.

The Commodores play South Carolina this Saturday. Recent history tells us that this game will probably be pretty exciting and it may possibly go our way. Matter of fact, Vandy has outscored USC by a total score of 55-33 since the 2007 season (including just a 4-point loss last season, the same year we only had one FBS win). So one could say that Vanderbilt has a decent shot at winning, even though South Carolina is ranked #21 this season with a win against Alabama.

If Vandy were to win, then they could very well be No. 1 in the SEC East. The only team that would get in the way of that is Georgia, who would have to win at Kentucky to leap us. That’s a pretty good scenario for us considering we just got blown three days ago.

So cheer up everybody. We could be No. 1 after the this week. Who knows?

Don’t Be too Upset

 Posted by on February 21, 2010
Feb 212010
 

I know one thing, being upset isn’t going to help us at all. OpenDores looks ahead, after the jump.

Sorry for the would-be postgame I threw up there. At the time, I was just over-fustrated at our shooting.I just wish we wouldn’t have chosen the biggest game of the season to shoot our worst.

Regardless, it’s over now. I’m not mad anymore. We can say it was our bad shooting that killed us, but Kentucky wasn’t playing their best, either. The fact that we held them under 60 is an accomplishment in itself.

Vandy Wins A Close One in Oxford

 Posted by on February 18, 2010
Feb 182010
 

At first there was a little doubt, but they Commodores come away with a win tonight. Thanks to great nights by AJ and Jeff, and a nice closing by Jermaine Beal. ALthough, that Ole Miss 3-ball was keeping the Rebels in the game…

Before we get into the great news and stats, I want to bring about something else. And that’s the poor night Andre Walker. This is a guy who’s became a huge part of this team, as well as one of my favorite players – but he didn’t fair so well tonight. Only 2 points with limited minutes due to QUICK (and I mean quick) foul trouble. Maybe Kevin Stallings should’ve thought more about putting Andre in after that injury, we WILL need him for Kentucky.

Alright, onto the good stuff. First let’s go to AJ Ogilvy, a man commonly critized for dissapearing in games did no such thing tonight. AJ picked up a game-high 27 points, and then added 8 rebounds just for some extra suger-couting.

Jeff Taylor was fantastic, again. 17 points, 4 assist. If he keeps this string of great games going, he’ll be a key man in our game aginst Kentucky.

Last is my man, Jermaine Beal. Who had no points in the first half, but a crucial 14 points in the second half (by the way, I made a prediction at halftime on VSL that he would get over 10 points).

So, let’s get the boy’s rested up (and Andre fully-healed) for the season-deciding Kentucky game (only two more days)!

Let’s Take it One Game at a Time

 Posted by on February 17, 2010
Feb 172010
 

Whenever I talk to people about Vanderbilt, they’re always talking about the Kentucky. And yeah, you can’t really blame them, but still. We can’t overlook Ole Miss, they’re a solid squad and they’re looking a nice win for their resume. Not to mention, we still have two players that are under questionable status.

I’m not saying we shouldn’t prepare for Kentucky (because it is only two days after the Ole Miss game). But let’s not look past the Rebels.